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Thursday, april 17, 2025

Internal Revenue Service. The analysis of the housing market in Q4 2024.

Internal Revenue Service. The analysis of the housing market in Q4 2024.

In the fourth quarter of 2024, the Italian residential market saw significant growth: home sales rose by 7.6% compared to the same period in 2023, with an acceleration across all geographic areas, led by provincial capitals (+9.8%) and cities such as Rome and Milan (+10%). The only exception among major cities was Naples, which saw a 2% decline.

The increase in new home purchases (+46%) brought their share to 12.8% of the total market. 41.5% of sales were financed with a mortgage, with average rates declining (around 3.3%), and 71% of buyers taking advantage of the “first-time homebuyer” incentive. The most traded homes were those between 50 and 115 square meters (+8.7%).

The rental market saw a slight decline in volume (-0.3%), but an increase in total annual rent (+3.7%, for a total of approximately 1.7 billion euros). In Rome, new leases decreased (-7%), while in Milan they increased (+5.5%), along with rents (+6.9%). Short-term leases and student leases are growing in particular, while standard long-term leases are declining.

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As for non-residential real estate, the fourth quarter of 2024 showed significant growth, with a 28% increase in sales compared to the same period in 2023. This positive trend was driven mainly by retail spaces (+3.5%) and industrial properties (+1.1%), particularly in the Northwest and South. In contrast, the office sector saw a 2.3% year-over-year contraction, with sharper declines in regional capitals (-9.3%) and a near-25% plunge in the eight major cities. In particular, Rome and Milan, which represent the most significant markets, recorded declines of 43.6% and 22%, respectively.

The industrial real estate market, however, bucked the trend, showing resilience, with particularly strong performance in Turin, Treviso, and Padua, where the increase in transactions exceeded 25%.

Download the report here